Ayr United 5-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 9 Aug 2024

Ayr United
5-0 HT 2-0
Airdrieonians
📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
4.73
X/2
9%
6.88
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
20%
4.91
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.7pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.40
-13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
356 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 0-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
17.02.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-3 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.10.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.04.2011 Ayr United Ayr United 3-1 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
14.08.2010 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United ran out comfortable winners over Airdrieonians 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ayr United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ayr United and 1.17 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Ayr United 5-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 38%, draw 27%, Airdrieonians 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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