Ayr United 2-1 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
17.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.4
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
9%
5.98
X/2
14%
4.87
X/X
13%
4.39
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
22%
3.31
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.99/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.43
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 70%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.02.2024 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-3 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
16.12.2023 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
07.10.2023 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
30.04.2011 Ayr United Ayr United 3-1 HT 0-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
14.08.2010 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 2-2 HT 0-1 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
26.04.2008 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-1 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İK1
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United squeezed past Airdrieonians 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Airdrieonians at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ayr United and 1.33 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Ayr United 2-1 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airdrieonians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 33%, draw 25%, Airdrieonians 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Airdrieonians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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