Queens Park 1-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.09
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
67%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.03
6+ Goals
9%
10.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.03 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.85
1/2
7%
21.7
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
5%
12.0
X/2 EV+ ✓
26%
3.96
X/X
8%
5.96
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.86
2/X
4%
16.05
Value flag · X/2 at 3.96 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
17%
-2.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
67%
Away Win
62%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 66%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.01
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Johnstone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
25.09.2012 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 4-1 HT 2-1 Queens Park Queens Park İKLK
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone edged past Queens Park 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs St. Johnstone?

Queens Park 1-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Championship on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 14%, draw 19%, St. Johnstone 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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