Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Raith Rovers v Greenock Morton — Team-Based Signals
Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Raith Rovers nicked a narrow win over Greenock Morton 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raith Rovers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.33 for Greenock Morton.
What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?
Raith Rovers 3-2 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 53%, draw 23%, Greenock Morton 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.