Raith Rovers 1-1 Greenock Morton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.0
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.53
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.7
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
6%
8.05
X/X
7%
4.48
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
6.76
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
0.87/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.55
+14% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.4 Crosses 8.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raith Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Greenock Morton
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
10 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.09.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-1 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
26.04.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-3 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
16.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.04.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
POST-MATCH Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers and Greenock Morton couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Raith Rovers at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Raith Rovers and 1.50 for Greenock Morton.

What was the final score of Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Raith Rovers 1-1 Greenock Morton in the Scotland - Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raith Rovers vs Greenock Morton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Raith Rovers 47%, draw 22%, Greenock Morton 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Raith Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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