01/11/2025
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-1
St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45
— our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
75%
17%
Draw
17%
9%
Away Win
9%
42%
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
46%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Johnstone v Airdrieonians — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
St. Johnstone
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Airdrieonians
EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-13% /
-12%
1.19/0.40
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.73/2.10
-41%
/
+141%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-25%
/
-9%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
400 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
225 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
8.0
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
St. Johnstone
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Airdrieonians
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
St. Johnstone cruised past Airdrieonians 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians?
St. Johnstone 3-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 74%, draw 17%, Airdrieonians 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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