Airdrieonians 1-2 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 23 Sep 2025

Airdrieonians
1-2 HT 0-2
St. Johnstone
📅23/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Airdrieonians vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
8%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.1
1/X
11%
16.65
X/1
7%
10.35
X/2
24%
4.1
X/X
10%
5.57
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.03
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airdrieonians v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 62%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.30/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.58
+30% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
205 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Airdrieonians vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone nicked a narrow win over Airdrieonians 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Airdrieonians vs St. Johnstone?

Airdrieonians 1-2 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Championship on 23/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airdrieonians vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Airdrieonians 17%, draw 28%, St. Johnstone 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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