Greenock Morton 0-1 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
37%
1.69
4-5 Goals
20%
4.14
6+ Goals
11%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.87
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
11%
14.4
X/1
10%
7.27
X/2
12%
4.5
X/X
11%
4.04
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.8
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenock Morton EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.09/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.01
+4% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.5 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenock Morton
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
5 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
25.03.2025 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 3-3 HT 1-2 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
16.11.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-3 HT 0-2 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
05.10.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 2-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.04.2024 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton 0-0 HT 0-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
27.02.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenock Morton Greenock Morton İKCL
POST-MATCH Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers squeezed past Greenock Morton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Raith Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenock Morton had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenock Morton and 1.00 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Greenock Morton 0-1 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raith Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Greenock Morton 33%, draw 29%, Raith Rovers 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raith Rovers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raith Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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