Ross County 1-2 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Sep 2025

Ross County
1-2 HT 0-1
Arbroath
📅06/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ross County vs Arbroath Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.14
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
9%
9.33
X/X
11%
5.36
2/1
9%
21.95
2/2
11%
7.46
2/X
4%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Arbroath — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
2.55/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.70
+48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
232 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.5
19.0 Crosses 13.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Ross County vs Arbroath Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arbroath
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
13.10.2020 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKLK
25.07.2018 Arbroath Arbroath 4-1 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKLK
29.07.2017 Arbroath Arbroath 0-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKLK
26.04.2003 Ross County Ross County 3-1 HT 2-1 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
21.12.2002 Arbroath Arbroath 2-1 HT 2-0 Ross County Ross County İKCL
19.10.2002 Ross County Ross County 4-0 HT 3-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath nicked a narrow win over Ross County 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ross County at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ross County and 1.33 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Arbroath?

Ross County 1-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ross County 50%, draw 24%, Arbroath 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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