St. Johnstone 4-0 Airdrieonians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.5
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.8
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
7%
18.2
X/X
7%
7.36
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
5%
16.05
2/X
5%
24.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Airdrieonians EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.73/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.51
-13% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
246 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 140 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Airdrieonians
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
13.02.2026 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
01.11.2025 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 3-0 HT 1-0 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians İKCL
23.09.2025 Airdrieonians Airdrieonians 1-2 HT 0-2 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKCL
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone ran out comfortable winners over Airdrieonians 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Johnstone as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for St. Johnstone and 0.33 for Airdrieonians.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians?

St. Johnstone 4-0 Airdrieonians in the Scotland - Championship on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Airdrieonians?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 68%, draw 17%, Airdrieonians 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Johnstone), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Over 2.5
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