Nueva Chicago 2-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.3pp
34%
Draw
33%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.9pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-5.4pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
1.17/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.69
+13% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
16.03.2026 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 2-0 HT 2-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
25.06.2023 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 1-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
21.02.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
23.03.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
30.08.2021 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 3-1 HT 1-1 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
19.04.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-1 HT 0-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago edged past San Martin Tucuman 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 34% / 32%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.17 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs San Martin Tucuman?

Nueva Chicago 2-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 34%, draw 34%, San Martin Tucuman 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/34/32) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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