Changwon City 2-2 Yongin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Aug 2026

Changwon City
2-2 HT 1-1
Yongin
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Changwon City vs Yongin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.54
6+ Goals
8%
14.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Changwon City v Yongin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Yongin EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses 13.5
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Changwon City 2-2 Yongin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changwon City
2-2
AWAY Yongin
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
333 Passes 245
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Yongin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City and Yongin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Yongin?

Changwon City 2-2 Yongin in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Yongin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 37%, draw 26%, Yongin 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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