Hwaseong 5-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.83
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
13%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.05/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/1.47
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses 22.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Daegu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
250 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2026 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
5-1
AWAY Daegu
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong ran out comfortable winners over Daegu 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Daegu?

Hwaseong 5-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 29%, draw 28%, Daegu 43%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daegu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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