Cardiff City 4-1 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

Cardiff City
4-1 HT 3-0
Roma
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Cardiff City vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
40%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
14%
8.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.84
1/2
7%
20.65
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
15.2
X/1
9%
9.23
X/2
17%
4.34
X/X
12%
5.76
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.15
2/X
7%
13.85
Value flag · 1/X at 15.2 — our 12% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.1pp
40%
Away Win
55%
-14.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cardiff City v Roma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma EU Bookmakers 59%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.84/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.34
+58% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
– Crosses 14.2
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Cardiff City 4-1 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
4-1
AWAY Roma
1.44 xG 2.14
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
289 Passes 339
27 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Roma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City swept aside Roma 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Cardiff City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.44 to 2.14 — on chances, Roma could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Roma?

Cardiff City 4-1 Roma in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Roma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 29%, draw 31%, Roma 40%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma) ✓ BTTS Yes
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