01/08/2026
·
10:40
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Lazio vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54
— our 28% vs market 22.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
28%
Draw
24%
26%
Away Win
21%
55%
Under 2.5
47%
45%
Over 2.5
53%
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
49%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lazio v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lazio
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Avellino
EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% /
+2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-32% /
-32%
2.15/0.17
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/2.00
+16%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-14%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
429 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Lazio vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Lazio
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Avellino
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
1
7
Corners
2
The Meetings
Lazio 6-3 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Lazio
6-3
AWAY
Avellino
15
Total Shots
11
10
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
5
FAQ
Lazio vs Avellino
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Lazio ran out comfortable winners over Avellino 6-3 in the Friendlies on 1 Aug 2026. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 15-11.
What was the final score of Lazio vs Avellino?
Lazio 6-3 Avellino in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lazio vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lazio 46%, draw 28%, Avellino 26%. The final score 6-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lazio)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
1 Aug 2026