Lazio 1-0 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.21
Over 2.5
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.65
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
18.15
X/1
19%
3.94
X/2
7%
15.6
X/X
7%
7.02
2/1
7%
21.6
2/2
7%
13.0
2/X
7%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 16%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.28/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.46
+43% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +51%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
460 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio
1-0
AWAY Avellino
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Lazio vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio squeezed past Avellino 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lazio as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lazio had 58% of the ball to Avellino's 42%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Lazio vs Avellino?

Lazio 1-0 Avellino in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lazio 58%, draw 23%, Avellino 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lazio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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