Moreirense 0-0 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

Moreirense
0-0 HT 0-0
Chaves
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Moreirense vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Chaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 26%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.94/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/0.00
+73% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Moreirense vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Chaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.89 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
252 Passes 271
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
03.09.2023 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
29.05.2022 Moreirense Moreirense 1-0 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR
21.05.2022 Chaves Chaves 2-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
20.04.2019 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
15.12.2018 Chaves Chaves 1-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and Chaves played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Moreirense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreirense and 0.83 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Chaves?

Moreirense 0-0 Chaves in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 42%, draw 28%, Chaves 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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