Stuttgart 2-1 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

Stuttgart
2-1 HT 1-0
Celta Vigo
📅26/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2025/2026

Stuttgart vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.54
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.74
6+ Goals
12%
6.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.43
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
19%
4.95
X/2
8%
8.45
X/X
9%
6.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.05
2/2
12%
5.52
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.93/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.11
+73% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart nicked a narrow win over Celta Vigo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stuttgart as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs Celta Vigo?

Stuttgart 2-1 Celta Vigo in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stuttgart win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 50%, draw 24%, Celta Vigo 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stuttgart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stuttgart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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