Feyenoord 1-2 Nice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
10%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 28% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2
9%
26.0
1/X
11%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.61
X/2
11%
6.25
X/X
8%
5.72
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
9%
3.89
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.5pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nice EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.21/2.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.35
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
11.8 Crosses 6.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Nice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nice squeezed past Feyenoord 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Feyenoord at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Nice?

Feyenoord 1-2 Nice in the Friendlies on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Nice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 45%, draw 26%, Nice 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Under 2.5
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