Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Union Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

Dynamo Dresden
2-1 HT 1-1
Union Berlin
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Friendlies – 2026

Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
12%
5.88
X/2
14%
5.95
X/X
9%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
16%
3.65
2/X
10%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dynamo Dresden v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.46/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.70
+144% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +98%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.42 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
309 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.04.2019 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL2
28.10.2018 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
13.05.2018 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL2
09.12.2017 Union Berlin Union Berlin 0-1 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
05.02.2017 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Berlin Union Berlin AL2
15.08.2016 Union Berlin Union Berlin 2-2 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2

Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-1
AWAY Union Berlin
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden squeezed past Union Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Dynamo Dresden found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.50 for Union Berlin.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin?

Dynamo Dresden 2-1 Union Berlin in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Union Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 38%, draw 26%, Union Berlin 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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