Forest Green Rovers 1-4 Swindon Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

Forest Green Rovers
1-4 HT 0-2
Swindon Town
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
12%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Swindon Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Swindon Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.55 xG 1.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
245 Passes 288
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 25
24 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.12.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
15.08.2023 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-2 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
26.04.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2
09.10.2021 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-2 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
10.11.2020 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İNTK
07.03.2020 Swindon Town Swindon Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İN2

Forest Green Rovers 1-4 Swindon Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-4
AWAY Swindon Town
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town cruised past Forest Green Rovers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.50 for Swindon Town.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Forest Green Rovers 1-4 Swindon Town in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Swindon Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 43%, draw 23%, Swindon Town 35%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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