01/08/2026
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Hamburg vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
27%
Draw
26%
35%
Away Win
38%
50%
Under 2.5
47%
50%
Over 2.5
53%
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
47%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hamburg v Everton — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Hamburg
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Everton
EU Bookmakers 43%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-18% /
-18%
1.90/1.88
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.59/0.82
+33%
/
-28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-60%
/
+60%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
5
347 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
Hamburg 1-2 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Hamburg
1-2
AWAY
Everton
15
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
9
0
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Hamburg vs Everton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Everton edged past Hamburg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Everton made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, shots finished 15-14.
What was the final score of Hamburg vs Everton?
Hamburg 1-2 Everton in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 38%, draw 27%, Everton 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Hamburg)
✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
1 Aug 2026