Hartlepool United 1-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.11/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.62
-16% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +99%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
11.08.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İNLK
18.01.2014 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
24.08.2013 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United edged past Fleetwood Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fleetwood Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.00 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Fleetwood Town?

Hartlepool United 1-0 Fleetwood Town in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleetwood Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 28%, draw 27%, Fleetwood Town 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fleetwood Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleetwood Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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