Lens 3-1 Villarreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal EU Bookmakers 37%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
2.03/0.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.22
+96% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
26.0 Crosses 9.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
3-1
AWAY Villarreal
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lens vs Villarreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens got the better of Villarreal 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lens found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Lens vs Villarreal?

Lens 3-1 Villarreal in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Villarreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lens 38%, draw 28%, Villarreal 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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