Manchester United 2-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

Manchester United
2-1 HT 0-1
Atletico Madrid
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026/2027

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 29% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.66
1/2
9%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.35
X/1
10%
5.04
X/2
14%
7.42
X/X
11%
5.61
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
19%
4.84
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
47%
-15.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
28%
+13.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.2pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Atletico Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
2.01/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.09
-36% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
361 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
10.0 Crosses 11.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
439 Passes 275
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.07.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid HAZ
30.07.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United Manchester United HAZ
15.03.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid ŞMP
23.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-1 HT 1-0 Manchester United Manchester United ŞMP

Manchester United 2-1 Atletico Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
1.82 xG 0.64
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
445 Passes 370
21 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Manchester United edged past Atletico Madrid 2-1 in the Friendlies on 1 Aug 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.82 to 0.64.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Manchester United and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?

Manchester United 2-1 Atletico Madrid in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 32%, draw 27%, Atletico Madrid 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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