Middlesbrough 3-3 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.45
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
12%
5.35
X/2
15%
6.04
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
4.15
2/X
10%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.00/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.99
+31% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
3-3
AWAY Espanyol
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough and Espanyol couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Espanyol?

Middlesbrough 3-3 Espanyol in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 34%, draw 30%, Espanyol 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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