Nürnberg 2-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.14/0.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.53
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
2-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg edged past Real Oviedo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nürnberg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 4-13.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Real Oviedo?

Nürnberg 2-1 Real Oviedo in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 50%, draw 23%, Real Oviedo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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