Sestao River 2-1 Portugalete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Portugalete EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Portugalete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River nicked a narrow win over Portugalete 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Sestao River made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Portugalete?

Sestao River 2-1 Portugalete in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Portugalete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 37%, draw 26%, Portugalete 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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