Stoke City 1-1 Valencia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
0.60/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.12
-58% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -35%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Valencia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
23.02.2012 Valencia Valencia 1-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City AVL
16.02.2012 Stoke City Stoke City 0-1 HT 0-1 Valencia Valencia AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City
1-1
AWAY Valencia
15 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City vs Valencia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City and Valencia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 15-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Valencia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Stoke City and 1.00 for Valencia.

What was the final score of Stoke City vs Valencia?

Stoke City 1-1 Valencia in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City vs Valencia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stoke City 35%, draw 29%, Valencia 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Valencia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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