01/08/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Swansea City vs Leganes Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73
— our 31% vs market 20.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
28%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
27%
60%
Under 2.5
44%
40%
Over 2.5
56%
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
57%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Swansea City v Leganes — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Swansea City
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Leganes
EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-15% /
-15%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-48%
/
+29%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
449 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
315 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
Swansea City vs Leganes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Swansea City edged past Leganes 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Swansea City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Swansea City vs Leganes?
Swansea City 1-0 Leganes in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Swansea City vs Leganes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 43%, draw 28%, Leganes 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swansea City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Swansea City)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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HAZ
More Friendlies
1 Aug 2026