Irtysh Pavlodar 3-2 Kaspyi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.9
Over 2.5
38%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.75
No
59%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
49%
+13.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
51%
-13.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.5pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.04/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.25
-24% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irtysh Pavlodar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaspyi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.05.2026 Kaspyi Kaspyi 2-2 HT 1-0 Irtysh Pavlodar Irtysh Pavlodar KAZP
FAQ Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaspyi
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Irtysh Pavlodar edged past Kaspyi 3-2 in the Kazakistan - Super League on 1 Aug 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score was close to even at 41%.

What was the final score of Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaspyi?

Irtysh Pavlodar 3-2 Kaspyi in the Kazakistan - Super League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irtysh Pavlodar vs Kaspyi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irtysh Pavlodar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Irtysh Pavlodar 46%, draw 26%, Kaspyi 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irtysh Pavlodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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