Kaspyi 2-2 Irtysh Pavlodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaspyi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Irtysh Pavlodar EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.32/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.80
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Kaspyi vs Irtysh Pavlodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaspyi and Irtysh Pavlodar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Kaspyi vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Kaspyi 2-2 Irtysh Pavlodar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaspyi vs Irtysh Pavlodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaspyi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kaspyi 39%, draw 32%, Irtysh Pavlodar 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kaspyi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
22 May 2026
13:00 Altay vs Okzhetpes Analysis →
15:00 FC Astana vs Ulytau Analysis →