FC Astana 3-0 Ulytau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 22 May 2026

📅22/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
12%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
61%
+5.6pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
12%
Away Win
17%
-4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulytau EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.18/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.53
+16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulytau
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.08.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 4-0 HT 0-0 Ulytau KAZP
18.05.2025 Ulytau 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Ulytau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana cruised past Ulytau 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Astana had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for FC Astana and 0.00 for Ulytau.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Ulytau?

FC Astana 3-0 Ulytau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 22/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Ulytau?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 67%, draw 21%, Ulytau 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
22 May 2026
13:00 Altay vs Okzhetpes Analysis →
17:00 Kaspyi vs Irtysh Pavlodar Analysis →