CA La Paz 0-1 Durango — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
38%
3.28
Away
21%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
38%
Draw
27%
+10.8pp
21%
Away Win
36%
-14.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Durango EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.74/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+25% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Durango
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-1 HT 1-0 Durango Durango MEK2
07.07.2022 Durango Durango 0-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA La Paz
0-1
AWAY Durango
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Durango
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Durango squeezed past CA La Paz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 38% / 21%) promised a tight game; Durango found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, CA La Paz had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CA La Paz and 0.50 for Durango.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Durango?

CA La Paz 0-1 Durango in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Durango?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 41%, draw 38%, Durango 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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