Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.79/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.52
+13% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
03.08.2025 Tlaxcala 1-1 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
09.02.2025 Tlaxcala 3-3 HT 0-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.04.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
3-1
AWAY Tlaxcala
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas got the better of Tlaxcala 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.00 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Mineros de Zacatecas 3-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 52%, draw 24%, Tlaxcala 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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