Tlaxcala 3-3 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
37%
3.64
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.6pp
37%
Draw
24%
+12.5pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-14.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.94/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.69
-16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
268 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
24.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.04.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.01.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
14.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.03.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-4 HT 1-4 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and Mineros de Zacatecas shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (24% / 37% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tlaxcala and 2.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tlaxcala 3-3 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 24%, draw 37%, Mineros de Zacatecas 39%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ BTTS Yes
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