Atlante 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 21%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.86/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.71
-5% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
25.08.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
14.03.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.08.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
31.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
29.08.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante squeezed past Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlante and 1.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Atlante 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atlante 58%, draw 21%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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