Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 25 Aug 2024

Tepatitlán de Morelos
1-1 HT 1-1
Atlante
📅25/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2024/2025

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.71
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
60%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
32%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tepatitlán de Morelos v Atlante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 62%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.00/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.41
-5% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
214 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tepatitlán de Morelos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atlante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.03.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-2 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
06.08.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-2 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
31.03.2023 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
29.08.2022 Atlante Atlante 1-1 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
27.03.2022 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 2-1 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.11.2021 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
POST-MATCH Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Atlante carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tepatitlán de Morelos and 1.17 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tepatitlán de Morelos 17%, draw 23%, Atlante 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atlante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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