Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monarcas Morelia v Alebrijes de Oaxaca — Team-Based Signals
Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
2-1
HT 0-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
MEK2
1-3
HT 0-1
Monarcas Morelia
MEK2
Monarcas Morelia edged past Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monarcas Morelia as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monarcas Morelia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monarcas Morelia and 1.17 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What was the final score of Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Monarcas Morelia 2-1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca in the Mexico - Primera A on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monarcas Morelia vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monarcas Morelia win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Monarcas Morelia 53%, draw 24%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monarcas Morelia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.