Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.76
+30% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tlaxcala
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
11.04.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.01.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
14.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.03.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-4 HT 1-4 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.11.2021 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas squeezed past Tlaxcala 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mineros de Zacatecas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Mineros de Zacatecas and 1.17 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 50%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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