CA La Paz 1-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -6%
1.73/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.11
+29% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA La Paz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Venados
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
28.04.2024 Venados Venados 2-3 HT 1-1 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
25.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-1 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
10.04.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
13.11.2023 Venados Venados 1-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
12.08.2023 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 0-2 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
29.03.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 3-2 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH CA La Paz vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA La Paz and Venados shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CA La Paz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA La Paz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CA La Paz and 1.33 for Venados.

What was the final score of CA La Paz vs Venados?

CA La Paz 1-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA La Paz vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA La Paz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CA La Paz 43%, draw 27%, Venados 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CA La Paz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA La Paz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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