Venados vs CA La Paz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Venados v CA La Paz — Team-Based Signals
Venados vs CA La Paz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
1-3
HT 0-2
CA La Paz
MEK2
3-2
HT 1-0
Venados
MEK2
3-0
HT 0-0
CA La Paz
MEK2
CA La Paz squeezed past Venados 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Venados at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Venados and 1.50 for CA La Paz.
What was the final score of Venados vs CA La Paz?
Venados 2-3 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Venados vs CA La Paz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Venados win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Venados 48%, draw 29%, CA La Paz 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.