CD Tapatio 2-0 Celaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Celaya EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.21/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.12
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celaya
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
25.04.2024 Celaya Celaya 4-3 HT 0-2 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.04.2024 Celaya Celaya 1-2 HT 0-1 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
11.08.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
04.02.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 1-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
21.07.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.03.2022 Celaya Celaya 5-0 HT 3-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Celaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio beat Celaya 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; CD Tapatio found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CD Tapatio and 2.50 for Celaya.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Celaya?

CD Tapatio 2-0 Celaya in the Mexico - Primera A on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Celaya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celaya win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 33%, draw 29%, Celaya 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Celaya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celaya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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