Celaya 1-2 CD Tapatio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2024

Celaya
1-2 HT 0-1
CD Tapatio
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Celaya vs CD Tapatio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
46%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
28%
+11.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celaya v CD Tapatio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celaya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.72/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.24
+20% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards –

Celaya vs CD Tapatio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celaya
2W-4D-0L
AWAY CD Tapatio
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
11.08.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
04.02.2023 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 2-2 HT 1-1 Celaya Celaya MEK2
21.07.2022 Celaya Celaya 2-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
26.03.2022 Celaya Celaya 5-0 HT 3-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
12.11.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 1-0 Celaya Celaya MEK2
16.04.2021 Celaya Celaya 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
POST-MATCH Celaya vs CD Tapatio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Tapatio edged past Celaya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day CD Tapatio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celaya and 0.67 for CD Tapatio.

What was the final score of Celaya vs CD Tapatio?

Celaya 1-2 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celaya vs CD Tapatio?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Celaya 34%, draw 26%, CD Tapatio 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Tapatio), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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