Atlante 4-0 Correcaminos UAT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-13.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.72/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.64
-4% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Correcaminos UAT
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
06.09.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
07.04.2023 Atlante Atlante 2-1 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
08.07.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
02.08.2021 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 2-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
19.09.2015 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante cruised past Correcaminos UAT 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atlante and 0.83 for Correcaminos UAT.

What was the final score of Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Atlante 4-0 Correcaminos UAT in the Mexico - Primera A on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs Correcaminos UAT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atlante 54%, draw 23%, Correcaminos UAT 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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