Celaya vs CD Tapatio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celaya v CD Tapatio — Team-Based Signals
Celaya vs CD Tapatio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Celaya
MEK2
2-2
HT 1-1
Celaya
MEK2
2-0
HT 1-0
CD Tapatio
MEK2
5-0
HT 3-0
CD Tapatio
MEK2
1-1
HT 1-0
Celaya
MEK2
Celaya edged past CD Tapatio 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Celaya found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celaya had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celaya and 1.00 for CD Tapatio.
What was the final score of Celaya vs CD Tapatio?
Celaya 4-3 CD Tapatio in the Mexico - Primera A on 25/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celaya vs CD Tapatio?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Celaya 36%, draw 24%, CD Tapatio 40%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.