Tlaxcala 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Apr 2024

Tlaxcala
0-2 HT 0-0
Mineros de Zacatecas
📅11/04/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.5
No
53%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
32%
+13.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.5pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
62%
-15.2pp
53%
BTTS No
38%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Mineros de Zacatecas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.95/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.51
-21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.01.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
14.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
28.03.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-4 HT 1-4 Tlaxcala MEK2
17.11.2021 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
14.04.2021 Tlaxcala 2-1 HT 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mineros de Zacatecas got the better of Tlaxcala 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tlaxcala at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tlaxcala and 2.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tlaxcala 0-2 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tlaxcala win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 45%, draw 20%, Mineros de Zacatecas 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tlaxcala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tlaxcala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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