Leones Negros Udeg vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leones Negros Udeg v Tepatitlán de Morelos — Team-Based Signals
Leones Negros Udeg vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
0-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
1-1
HT 0-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
3-0
HT 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
MEK2
2-1
HT 1-1
Leones Negros Udeg
MEK2
Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Tepatitlán de Morelos 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.67 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.
What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Leones Negros Udeg 3-2 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 60%, draw 25%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.