Tlaxcala 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas EU Bookmakers 53%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.90/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.57
-26% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mineros de Zacatecas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
09.02.2025 Tlaxcala 3-3 HT 0-3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
24.08.2024 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
11.04.2024 Tlaxcala 0-2 HT 0-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
06.08.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-1 HT 2-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.01.2023 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
14.09.2022 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala and Mineros de Zacatecas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mineros de Zacatecas at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mineros de Zacatecas led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tlaxcala and 2.33 for Mineros de Zacatecas.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tlaxcala 1-1 Mineros de Zacatecas in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 25%, draw 23%, Mineros de Zacatecas 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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