CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.21
-23% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
25.05.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
18.05.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
06.04.2025 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
20.10.2024 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 3-2 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CDS Tampico Madero nicked a narrow win over Leones Negros Udeg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CDS Tampico Madero as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 1.25 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 42%, draw 32%, Leones Negros Udeg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
3 Aug 2025
03:00 Atlante vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Analysis →
06:00 Dorados De Sinaloa vs Cancun FC Analysis →
21:00 Tlaxcala vs Mineros de Zacatecas Analysis →